Minister for Justice notes CSO publication of Probation Re-Offending Statistics
- CSO measures re-offending from 12, 24 and 36 months after the release. In general, the longer the time period analysed, the more accurate the measure is of re-offending.
- For the 12 month measures, the rec-offending rate was 31.1%. When looking at a 24 month period, this increases to 40.2% and for 36 months 47.2%.
- Overall, re-offending rates remain relatively static since around 2010.
The Minister for Justice, Helen McEntee T.D., today noted the publication of Probation Re-Offending Statistics by the Central Statistics Office (CSO). The report identifies reoffending by persons sentenced to probation supervision in 2016.
Speaking today Minister McEntee said,
“This independent assessment by the Central Statistics Office of the impact of noncustodial measures on rates of re-offending is very important for informing the effectiveness of community sanctions. This study, which has been running since 2008, shows the recidivism or re-offending rate of people who enter the Probation Service over a 3 year period from the date of their probation sentence.
“The latest publication in this study, issued today, focuses on a cohort of offenders from 2016, and shows the recidivism or re-offending rate for this group after a 12 month period. The study shows that almost 69% of those given an alternative sanction of a Probation Order, Community Service Order or Post Release Supervision Order in 2016 had not reoffended within one year."
Compared to the CSO’s previous statistics on probation reoffending for the previous three years 2013, 2014 and 2015 this report shows that Probation re-offending rates within the first year are remaining relatively static.
The report found variations in the rates of reoffending across a number of categories. Males are slightly more likely to reoffend than females (the rate in 2016 was 30.3% for males compared to 30% for females). When looking at offence type, theft and related offences has the highest re-offending rate over a 12 months period whilst sexual offences has the lowest.
The recidivism rate also decreases compared to the age of the offenders: for the 2016 probationers, 45.6% of offenders under 18 reoffended compared to 21.7% of those aged over 65.
Data for 2016 indicates that the level of re-offending is higher among individuals sentenced to a Probation Order (34.1%) than those sentenced to a Community Service Order (28.3%) or those under Post Release Supervision (15.9%).
Minister McEntee continued,
“I particularly welcome the finding that Community Service Orders continue to show very good outcomes, indicating that Community Service orders can help reduce reoffending rates in a way that not only benefits communities nationwide, but also allows offenders a chance to make amends for their criminal actions in a tangible way.
“I also welcome the finding the Post Release Supervision continues to show very good outcomes.”
The Minister also commented on the need to use the findings of the CSO to help inform what supports and systems are required to reduce reoffending rates, saying,
“Later this week I will be launching the new ‘Working to Change - social enterprise and employment strategy 2021- 2023’, which is an ambitious yet achievable strategy. It sets out 46 inter-connected actions spanning three strategic areas, all of which are designed to increase employment opportunitiesfor peoplewith criminal recordsby addressing the barriers and challenges people with convictions face when trying to enter the labour market.
“One of the key ways to prevent reoffending is by creating education and employment opportunities, and Working to Change will increase employment opportunities in social enterprise, in general employment and through entrepreneurship.”
The Director of the Probation Services, Mark Wilson, also welcomed today’s publication, saying:
“The reoffending rates reflect improvements in Probation Service supervision, and indicates that we are continuing to perform well. I am particularly pleased that reoffending by persons subject to post release supervision is encouragingly low. This does confirm our belief that supervision and support in the community after release does improvement positive resettlement and reduces harmful behaviour.”
The full release can be accessed at: www.cso.ie